September 17th Market Overview

September 17th Market Overview (no fluff)

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Happy Tuesday, everyone. We're in for an exciting day as the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision looms large.

The markets are mixed, with the S&P 500 touching a new high before settling slightly lower. Intel is making waves after announcing plans to create a separate foundry business, while retail sales surprised to the upside in August.

Energy and financial stocks are leading the today’s push, but tech is taking a bit of a breather.

Lets dig in…

Executive Summary

  • The S&P 500 is sitting flat after hitting a record high of 5,670.81 as the marekt await the Federal Reserve’s key interest rate decision.

  • Retail sales showed an unexpected increase of 0.1% in August, demonstrating consumer resilience amidst economic concerns.

  • $INTC shares surged nearly 8% after announcing plans to create a separate foundry business and receiving up to $3 billion in CHIPS Act funding.

Market Overview

The S&P 500 was little changed today, briefly touching an all-time high earlier in the session before pulling back slightly to 5,625.19, down 0.1%. The Nasdaq was unchanged, while the Dow slipped 61 points, or 0.1%, after also reaching a fresh record high. Investors are on standby for the Fed’s anticipated rate cut decision Wednesday afternoon, with a 63% probability of a 50 basis point reduction currently priced in by traders.

Key Market Drivers

  1. Federal Reserve Anticipation: The market is largely betting on a significant rate cut by the Fed, which could reshape earnings perspectives against a backdrop of high inflation and borrowing costs.

  2. Retail Sales Data: A surprise uptick in August retail sales has instilled confidence among investors, suggesting consumer resilience that may offset prior economic concerns.

  3. Tech Sector Movement: Major tech stocks like $INTC are reacting significantly to corporate restructuring news and funding aid, contributing to overall market stability.

Stock Spotlight

  • $INTC: Shares jumped nearly 8% after announcing plans to make its foundry business a subsidiary and receiving up to $3 billion in CHIPS Act funding.

  • $GCI: Gannett shares soared 16% after Citi upgraded the newspaper stock to a neutral rating from sell.

  • $ACN: Accenture shares dropped 4% following a report that the company will move the bulk of its promotions to June from December.

Other Magnificent 7 Updates

  • $MSFT: Shares were up about 2% in the premarket after increasing its quarterly dividend by 10.7% and approving a new $60 billion share repurchase program.

Other Notable Company News

  • $TDOC: Teladoc shares surged 12%, putting the stock on track for its best day in more than a year and its sixth straight day of gains.

  • $HPE: Hewlett Packard Enterprise stock jumped 6% after Bank of America upgraded it to a buy rating from neutral.

Sector Watch

Sector

Symbol

% Change

Energy

XLE

+1.31%

Consumer Discretionary

XLY

+0.51%

Industrials

XLI

+0.38%

Financials

XLF

+0.32%

Communication Services

XLC

+0.08%

Materials

XLB

+0.04%

Technology

XLT

-0.26%

Utilities

XLU

-0.18%

Real Estate

XLR

-0.59%

Consumer Staples

XLP

-0.94%

Healthcare

XLV

-1.31%

Bond Market

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note was little changed Tuesday, hovering around 4.10%.

Policy Watch

All eyes are on the Federal Reserve as it prepares to announce its interest rate decision Wednesday afternoon. While a rate cut is widely expected, the debate centers on whether the central bank will opt for a 25 or 50 basis point reduction. The outcome could have significant implications.

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Note: This newsletter is intended for informational purposes only.